Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.008448 0.009922 0.011690 0.013999 0.016987 0.020799 0.026162
2025-09-21 0.006527 0.008258 0.010572 0.014004 0.019184 0.027126 0.041194
2025-09-28 0.005661 0.007536 0.010241 0.014652 0.022182 0.035726 0.065813
2025-10-05 0.005233 0.007272 0.010413 0.015998 0.026725 0.049526 0.115704
2025-10-12 0.004766 0.006836 0.010190 0.016568 0.030084 0.063450 0.190917
2025-10-19 0.004270 0.006265 0.009613 0.016308 0.031610 0.074346 0.285891
2025-10-26 0.003930 0.005891 0.009298 0.016455 0.034133 0.090643 0.478737
2025-11-02 0.003594 0.005475 0.008832 0.016162 0.035445 0.104711 0.768328
2025-11-09 0.003230 0.004970 0.008123 0.015175 0.034482 0.109394 1.035148
2025-11-16 0.002942 0.004568 0.007561 0.014407 0.033892 0.115637 1.470939
2025-11-23 0.002790 0.004394 0.007419 0.014593 0.036341 0.140679 3.377099
2025-11-30 0.002607 0.004146 0.007094 0.014264 0.036998 0.157611 7.173307
2025-12-07 0.002399 0.003850 0.006671 0.013699 0.036971 0.173790 19.727436
2025-12-14 0.002260 0.003671 0.006475 0.013695 0.039160 0.214517 474.635356
2025-12-21 0.002184 0.003606 0.006508 0.014323 0.044385 0.307684 NaN
2025-12-28 0.002158 0.003634 0.006750 0.015626 0.053947 0.539877 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002084 0.003556 0.006739 0.016179 0.060603 0.841982 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001971 0.003389 0.006497 0.015927 0.062660 1.089755 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001890 0.003281 0.006380 0.016070 0.067464 1.645551 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001794 0.003134 0.006154 0.015786 0.069317 2.209906 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001674 0.002929 0.005761 0.014830 0.065704 2.217891 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001574 0.002758 0.005441 0.014086 0.063308 2.350196 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001523 0.002692 0.005378 0.014265 0.068262 4.048167 NaN